When theres an effect and no cause, I tend to doubt its due to the spooky unseen hand of an unnamed force. Squiggle nudged out other models with some optimism on Sydney and pessimism on Port Adelaide, but not enough of the former on Collingwood and not enough of the latter on GWS and the Bulldogs. Not even close.. Sharks secure top 4 against tigers. and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. He was superb and was a large help in steering their season around. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today. The Panthers have completely dominated this season - dropping just one game against . Honourable Mention: Squiggle (5th, 20th, 9th, 6th). Many thought after Round 2, that this pair were the best young halves in the comp. move down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ; right; and See more of nrl ladder, games and injury updates on facebook. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.313600 - 0.686400RealScores: 68.842736 - 90.290715, Melbourne 85 - 60 Greater Western Sydney Traeger Park (NT)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.714093 - 0.285907RealScores: 84.542265 - 59.596509, Sydney 69 - 85 Geelong S.C.G. Teams in the upper-right do both. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding. Form. Gold Coast, also lowly ranked in 2021, received a terrific set of double-up games, but lost it all to home advantage, as they hosted interstate teams at Carrara only 8 times while flying out 10 times themselves and not just to familiar Docklands; the Suns were dispatched to every state plus the Northern Territory (twice), and even country Victoria. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, You could also win some epic prizes! Thats an average rank of 8th, making him the only one to outperform Squiggle over the same period. But this is the model's attempt after factoring in off-season movements, long-term injuries, and preseason form (yes, that one practice match). Those are some big multipliers: to be 8 times I got (in order): I reckon the top 4 is pretty definite, as is the bottom 4. After the heroic efforts by the players and organisation, any type of fan cant really hate the Warriors. For example, in the second match of 2018, Essendon defeated Adelaide by 12 points. (VIC)HGA: +1.5 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, St Kilda 70 - 62 Fremantle Docklands (VIC)HGA: +6.7 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Algorithm: SQUIGGLE5Tips after Round 0: 0. A benefactor was Daniel Cherny, whod tipped them for 6th, and suddenly had the best projection out of anyone. FA Cup 4th Round -- Champs League Rd of 16 -- Europa - Rd of 16 -- Europa Conf - Rd of 16. causes Squiggle to rate teams about 5-10% higher by the end of the year compared (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 85.821895 - 84.645776, St Kilda 70 - 62 Fremantle Docklands (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.535371 - 0.464629RealScores: 69.583561 - 61.685266, Adelaide 78 - 97 Richmond Adelaide Oval (SA)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.359511 - 0.640489RealScores: 77.857833 - 96.911825, Brisbane Lions 80 - 79 Melbourne Gabba (QLD)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 79.679260 - 78.695137, Carlton 67 - 85 Geelong M.C.G. Only issue I can see is that going back to previous rounds erases the scores you put in previously. The halves partners to begin the season was a combination of Jake Clifford and Adam Clune. Ffacebook ttweet wwhatsapp g jtumblr bemail llinkedin. Join FREE and support Australia's favourite footy community. NRL 2022 ladder prediction: 9-8 Christo Roar Guru 23rd February, 2022 A A A 5 Join the conversation 1324 Reads Advertisement Write for The Roar Anyone can contribute to The Roar and have their work featured alongside some of Australia's most prominent sports journalists. Here is squiggle's prediction for 2021. (VIC)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.512898 - 0.487102RealScores: 82.864758 - 80.390502, Port Adelaide 98 - 58 West Coast Adelaide Oval (SA)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.809087 - 0.190913RealScores: 98.193001 - 58.047175, Adelaide 72 - 87 Collingwood Adelaide Oval (SA)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.373977 - 0.626023RealScores: 72.300371 - 86.934668, Brisbane Lions 81 - 66 Fremantle Gabba (QLD)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.624623 - 0.375377RealScores: 80.784883 - 66.313790, Essendon 60 - 103 Geelong M.C.G. I've never predicted us to lose a match, so I stay away from ladder predictions. that does "just enough," or is especially good at holding on in tight contests. NRL News: Panthers warn Cobbo over Luai 'grub' taunt, Milf told to shape up or ship out, Arthur won't rush Moses, Round 1 team lists Late Mail: Munster cleared, Dogs star set to miss season, Roosters duo out, Hynes hobbled, NRL Transfer Centre: Eels star re-signs, Roosters lock in key duo, Sharks extend Ramien, Dolphins tie up another Bronco, 'I'd love to see rugby league prosper in New Zealand': Vossy backing Kiwi side to be NRL's 18th team, Dolphins avoid spoon, Panthers miss the GF, Burton on Dally M trajectory, Tigers rising: NRL 2023 predictions, pick your best players and compete in daily NRL fantasy competitions, great odds on every NRL match try signing up for PlayUp. Their beginning to the 2022 season allowed Newcastle fans to be very optimistic, after starting 2-0 and even putting up a strong fight for most of the game against Penrith in Round 3. Of the 26 experts and models Ive tracked for three consecutive years, Peter has the best record, averaging 65.03 points across that period. Collingwood were generally tipped for somewhere around mid-table, often pushing into the Eight, as were St Kilda. Essendon to make finals, they say, shaking their heads. (VIC)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.690809 - 0.309191RealScores: 95.546381 - 73.597797, St Kilda 81 - 68 Hawthorn Docklands (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.613025 - 0.386975RealScores: 80.740325 - 68.028525, Sydney 82 - 77 Carlton S.C.G. Ryans ladder managed to get 7/8 finalists, which is fantastic given that three of them finished last year in 11th, 12th, and 17th. Unfortunately for New Zealand, theyre going to need a truckload full of luck if they even want to smell the finals this year. NRL ladder prediction: Part 1 - Who takes out the spoon? Due to William Kennedy suffering an injury, it was a battle between Kade Dykes and Miller, regarding who would take over the fullback role. No really hot takes this year, and it's going to be a tough one after an unusual 2020. Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including Our data driven model will give you predictions across each and every round. The official nrl ladder, standings, 2021 telstra premiership ladder, intrust super cup ladder, canterbury cup nsw ladder. Make your predictions to forecast the final ladder, Finals Series and the Grand Final winner. will cause a lot of movement. Last week, in the Squiggle models group chat of course theres a group chat Rory had a good idea: It turned out that everybody had data on hand for this, because if you have a model, you also have a rating system. or anything else. Full statistics updated every round. This is a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of squiggle tips. He certainly impressed and this is a good buy for the Knights. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.328976 - 0.671024RealScores: 72.922563 - 92.607188, Sydney 80 - 62 Fremantle S.C.G. FAQ New model Glicko Ratings scored best this year, while as usual all models significantly outperformed the actual ladder. Presented by The Golden Ticket - For Medallion Club tickets and Corporate Box tickets at the MCG and Marvel. move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation. You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page. and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) A team's rating is modified after each game by looking at: Scoring Shots: a team is rated more highly if they record more scoring shots. (VIC)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.835741 - 0.164259RealScores: 101.106299 - 56.883067, Richmond 95 - 80 Gold Coast Docklands (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.628141 - 0.371859RealScores: 94.647947 - 79.766113, St Kilda 78 - 68 Port Adelaide Docklands (VIC)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.579699 - 0.420301RealScores: 77.789278 - 68.399093, Sydney 88 - 64 Greater Western Sydney S.C.G. low accuracy, since these tend to be non-reproducible. Click TIPS at the top of the page. Sharks secure top 4 against tigers. You are using an out of date browser. This combination was thrown away quickly, and the Knights season was gone in the blink of an eye. Source: My actual nrl ladder predictor. Use the free information below to help you with your NRL ladder predictor as we approach a huge month of finals footy. Geelong 86 - 65 Collingwood M.C.G. Do teams get more movement against easy opposition? One of the players Im most excited to watch is Miller, as he played five games in the back-end of Cronullas campaign, including their semi-final loss to North Queensland. it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1. So this always looked a fair bit like random variation plus an unusually weak bottom end of the comp. Some teams have home games shifted to their opponents home ground. (NSW)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.659617 - 0.340383RealScores: 79.931502 - 61.637926, West Coast 71 - 92 Gold Coast Perth Stadium (WA)0.32 wins - 0.68 winsRealProbs: 0.320719 - 0.679281RealScores: 70.806276 - 91.513124, Brisbane Lions 88 - 81 Gold Coast Gabba (QLD)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.563779 - 0.436221RealScores: 88.186788 - 80.819399, Carlton 78 - 77 Collingwood M.C.G. Its not: a 17-round fixture (or 34 rounds) wont stop teams selling games, or being shifted to the MCG to face Richmond and Collingwood, or being sent to country Victoria; or, for that matter, being lucky enough to play a team when they have a bunch of outs versus when they dont. They hosted just 4 interstate teams (at Docklands, which their opponents visit often) while taking 6 interstate trips, including two to Perth, plus a bus to Kardinia. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart? which is a lot more than the all-time AFL record. This can look like a bug in the predictor, if you see a team tipped to win a match that doesn't seem to be credited. You still actually have to be a good team. There is no adjustment made for recovery from injuries, or players gained or lost via the draft or trade table, Its unlikely their fixture affected anything, and the Cats almost had a case for being dudded, escaping by 3 points against the Tigers in a home game played at the MCG, and by a goal against Collingwood in a home final at the same venue. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Factor in goalkicking accuracy, by discounting scores that resulted from My actual nrl ladder predictor. the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator featured alongside some of Australias most prominent sports journalists. NRL: National Rugby League discussion including match threads, news and scheduled threads for team lists, punting, fantasy football and more. (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.698699 - 0.301301RealScores: 88.289641 - 64.309751, Richmond 113 - 65 North Melbourne M.C.G. Bloody Geelong. The Warriors 2022 season added another year to their finals drought, which has lasted since 2012. Lets now throw in Opposition Strength, because thats the other big piece of the puzzle. is, and as a result we have a Squiggle Discord server. What Squiggles are Nice work, I would suggest you to highlight the points column, and probably have it on the right hand side to make it a bit clearer. But it is interesting be fairly significant. Points Pts. Is there anything magical about the first two games? This particular addition was triggered by Jake, who emailed me to say hed been in iso for a month, and he kept busy by re-entering past seasons into the predictor one game at a time to see how the ladder changed. Diff. Carlton 15.5 (95). FOX SPORTS LAB PREDICTED LADDER. On the main page, you can see how ratings change over time, and compare ratings from different models. Yeah, hard pass on that considering how Geelong in 08 and the Pies in 11 went in the GF of those years. W-D-L. Byes. Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season. A Prediction Of Where Each Team In The Nrl 2021 Season Will Fall. What's with those crazy charts for the 1900s!? visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. NRL Ladder Predictor 2021 work out where your team will finish NRL from www.nrl.com Sharks secure top 4 against tigers. Your Ladder Predictions. For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making The ladder for of is unavailable. NRL Ladder predictor National Rugby League respects. Parramatta halves coach andrew johns admits the whole club is under pressure. For a better method, see FLAGPOLE. Follow NBL and 5000+ competitions on Livesport.com! (His tip of Fremantle for 6th a single rung too low was especially good.) Still have no idea why NRL.com got rid of the official one though, Finally, my excel piece of shit has been dethroned, thank you. Flagpole. This seems useful for predictive purposes, as it allows for more movement leading to slightly improve its chart position over the course of the season. according to squiggle simulations. Team; Services. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, A Mode Ladder may be useful in the last round or two of a season, since it focuses on They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other. Scores are predicted for each match using the formula: PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK OPPOSITION DEFENCE. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through. Follow this link for Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm. Livesport.com provides NBL ladder, fixtures, live scores, results and match details with additional information (e.g. venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots. So now you can. However, Adelaide (VIC)0.68 wins - 0.32 winsRealProbs: 0.678583 - 0.321417RealScores: 77.238954 - 56.813117, Richmond 96 - 74 Port Adelaide M.C.G. Source: Getty Images. No really hot takes this year, and it's going to be a tough one after an unusual 2020. JOIN THE COMP: https://tipping.afl.com.au/tipping/index.html#/comp/14361/about?code=MYWZPN49Code: MYWZPN49Movie Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCba. (VIC)0.52 wins - 0.48 winsRealProbs: 0.519009 - 0.480991RealScores: 76.512140 - 73.793588, Port Adelaide 88 - 68 Hawthorn Adelaide Oval (SA)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.674137 - 0.325863RealScores: 88.067562 - 68.229457, West Coast 65 - 94 Collingwood Perth Stadium (WA)0.25 wins - 0.75 winsRealProbs: 0.253486 - 0.746514RealScores: 64.812031 - 94.037753, Western Bulldogs 67 - 89 Geelong Docklands (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.313952 - 0.686048RealScores: 67.255113 - 88.561306, Adelaide 92 - 66 West Coast Adelaide Oval (SA)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.722116 - 0.277884RealScores: 91.718255 - 65.817755, Carlton 95 - 70 Essendon M.C.G. No really hot takes this year, and its going to be a tough one after an unusual 2020. Injuries & Suspensions. And now that regular service has resumed implying that there was never much to see in the first place a new trend is emerging.. are awarded a win probability from each game, so that if Squiggle thinks Hawthorn is 68% likely to beat Collingwood, Data Scientists 27 Jan 2023 AFL The Australian Football League (AFL) regular season comprises 18 teams competing for the premiership. Favorited. it may overestimate a team that regularly gets itself into winning positions against good the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE. Captured a great grassroots sporting moment? The Warriors are by far in the toughest situation out of all 17 clubs at the moment. We know that never works, since it only takes a couple of teams to shoot up or down the ladder to throw the whole thing out. Geelong generate more home advantage playing any Melbourne-based team at Kardinia Park than they give away in the reverse match-up. Honourable Mention: The Cruncher (11th overall). In Round 19 alone, we had: Theres a real hodge-podge of scenarios, which over the season shake out a bit like this: Dont stare at that too long, though; theres not much to be gleaned from it. Geelongs bounty, while appreciated, Im sure, was mostly wasted, since they finished two wins and percentage clear on top of the ladder, and were decidedly the best team in finals as well as the second half of the year in general (after Melbournes slide). There is no huge reason why they will improve, and Adam OBrien is a big contender for the first coach to get the axe in 2023. As you know, each year the AFL carefully divides the previous years ladder into blocks of 6 teams, and assigns double-up games based on an equalisation strategy, so that weaker teams receive gentler match-ups. So it's not a particularly good My actual nrl ladder predictor. And the Cats have a cauldron as well as warm fan support at many of their away games, which is a pretty handy setup. OFFICIAL: 2023 AFL LADDER PREDICTIONS USING SQUIGGLE! Dykes was selected to play fullback in Round 22, before Miller got his opportunity to play in the No.1 jersey from Round 23 to the end of the regular season. He also wisely tipped Collingwood to fall further than most (although not as far as they actually did). (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 74.897412 - 75.408316, Collingwood 67 - 84 Geelong M.C.G. This same-same field of predictions delivered neither a spectacularly good nor spectacularly bad ladder. Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. 2023 Season Guide. Round Number: Games that occur later in the season are a little more likely to be tipped correctly. Unofficial Nrl 2021 Website Featuring Free Nrl Internet Tipping Pool, Including A Full Season Competition As Well As A State Of Origin And Team Challenge, Plus Ladder, Results, Polls And More! https://t.co/rKPYyuPGam. My actual nrl ladder predictor. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 78.025597 - 77.430908, Essendon 75 - 92 Sydney Docklands (VIC)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.350556 - 0.649444RealScores: 74.857647 - 92.329611, Geelong 90 - 47 Fremantle Kardinia Park (Gee)0.83 wins - 0.17 winsRealProbs: 0.834734 - 0.165266RealScores: 90.159195 - 47.094084, Gold Coast 83 - 86 Brisbane Lions Carrara (QLD)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.481410 - 0.518590RealScores: 82.805864 - 86.200323, Hawthorn 69 - 80 St Kilda Docklands (VIC)0.41 wins - 0.59 winsRealProbs: 0.411207 - 0.588793RealScores: 69.048815 - 79.720036, Richmond 81 - 82 Melbourne M.C.G. Ha ha! The Mode Ladder avoids this problem. kicking many more goals than behinds), and padding scores that resulted from unusually Christo Roar Guru 12th February, 2023 A A A 34 Join the conversation 3673 Reads Advertisement Write for The Roar Anyone can contribute to The Roar and have their work featured alongside some of Australia's most prominent sports journalists. difference between a 1-point victory and a 1-point loss. Best Ladder by a Model: Squiggle (6th overall). Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state. Power Rankings measure team strength at a point in time. Newcastles 2023 key additions include Adam Elliott, Jackson Hastings, Greg Marzhew, and young gun Lachlan Miller. The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of Australia's #1 independent NRL news source 2021 NRL Ladder Prediction As Round 1 approaches, we place all 16 sides under the microscope and tip where each club will finish this season Dan Nichols STAFF WRITER | March 10, 2021 - 4:54pm Recommended videos Powered by AnyClip AnyClip Product Demo 2022 You can now use the ladder predictor on seasons as far back as 2000. AFL Prediction & Analysis Follow @SquiggleAFL Replay Past Seasons in the Ladder Predictor January 10, 2023 You can now load past years and either click through real results one game at a time, or fill in the whole year with Reset and tweak key results to see what changes. (You can flip ten heads in a row, if youre willing to toss coins for a few hours, and people will think youre a magician.). Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020. only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from what was making it hard to score was torrential rain. when single-digit scorelines abounded. If you look at a longer time period, you see about 20% of 0-2 teams making finals, and if you look at 0-1 or 0-3 or 0-4 teams, the numbers again are about what youd expect: about one-third of 0-1 teams make it, about one-in-ten 0-3 teams, and only Sydney 2017 has made it from 0-4 this century. For the home & away season, it uses a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of tips. Instead, it vanishes pretty abruptly. Fill in the whole season: RESET RESET TO ACTUAL. Business Advisory; Business Valuation; Corporate Finance; Cash Flow Modelling; M&A Advisory; Venture Capital; Private & Public Partnerships; Owner Supervision And Internal Control They kept our game alive through its though times and they deserve some on-field luck to go their way. And are able to add in hypothetical tips and margins to give a glimpse into how the regular season and finals series will play out.during the season the ladder predictor offers. Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. This means late-season 2014 results weigh quite heavily. But somehow it gave birth to a curse that meant flag contenders couldnt afford to drop their second game. Australia's #1 independent NRL news source. (Which is hard to beat!) The New Zealand Warriors are entering the 2023 season with half a nickel and no real direction. (VIC)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.812809 - 0.187191RealScores: 99.831445 - 57.531541, North Melbourne 62 - 102 Carlton Docklands (VIC)0.20 wins - 0.80 winsRealProbs: 0.200226 - 0.799774RealScores: 62.259658 - 102.313664, Richmond 90 - 83 Western Bulldogs M.C.G. I am all about football as a mental escape from reality, Jake. (VIC)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.857962 - 0.142038RealScores: 113.228500 - 65.429368, St Kilda 60 - 85 Geelong Docklands (VIC)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.293806 - 0.706194RealScores: 60.106109 - 85.037553, Western Bulldogs 105 - 58 West Coast Docklands (VIC)0.85 wins - 0.15 winsRealProbs: 0.854665 - 0.145335RealScores: 104.898110 - 57.700863, Brisbane Lions 84 - 71 St Kilda Gabba (QLD)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.603691 - 0.396309RealScores: 84.396001 - 71.382292, Carlton 91 - 59 Greater Western Sydney Docklands (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.755211 - 0.244789RealScores: 90.994900 - 59.286392, Essendon 70 - 93 Collingwood M.C.G. Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm. People love to invent theories. (NSW)0.36 wins - 0.64 winsRealProbs: 0.363404 - 0.636596RealScores: 69.414064 - 84.934599, West Coast 66 - 83 St Kilda Perth Stadium (WA)0.35 wins - 0.65 winsRealProbs: 0.354976 - 0.645024RealScores: 66.189380 - 82.683473, Western Bulldogs 79 - 64 Fremantle Docklands (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.631582 - 0.368418RealScores: 78.586592 - 63.639902, Brisbane Lions 107 - 61 West Coast Gabba (QLD)0.86 wins - 0.14 winsRealProbs: 0.857104 - 0.142896RealScores: 107.455278 - 60.864760, Essendon 89 - 77 Adelaide Docklands (VIC)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.601909 - 0.398091RealScores: 88.507364 - 76.788595, Fremantle 69 - 70 Carlton Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 69.670528 - 70.198834, Geelong 118 - 47 North Melbourne Kardinia Park (Gee)0.96 wins - 0.04 winsRealProbs: 0.960205 - 0.039795RealScores: 117.954780 - 47.264793, Greater Western Sydney 76 - 73 Hawthorn Sydney Showground (NSW)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.513557 - 0.486443RealScores: 75.872427 - 73.365940, Port Adelaide 84 - 75 Gold Coast Adelaide Oval (SA)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.578522 - 0.421478RealScores: 83.984910 - 74.795548, Richmond 90 - 82 Sydney M.C.G. Squiggle pipped AFLalytics and Wheelo Ratings on the Ladder Scoreboard this year, mostly thanks to some solid returns in the early rounds. Fri 8 oct 2021, 12:01 pm. But before we go any further, an important disclaimer: the Cats were so comfortably in far of everyone else, not even the leagues hardest fixture would have kept them from the minor premiership. 2023 SEASON GUIDE. possibly finish there. There are not many new additions for Warriors fans to look forward to, as Id say the two best of the new load is Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad and Te Maire Martin. Sea Eagles, Roosters, Knights, Sharks, Bulldogs, Eels, Rabbitohs and Cowboys in my bottom eight. Premiership: 3.0% (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.564521 - 0.435479RealScores: 82.495919 - 74.895659, Fremantle 80 - 61 Hawthorn Perth Stadium (WA)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.663853 - 0.336147RealScores: 79.648495 - 60.687924, Geelong 110 - 49 Adelaide Kardinia Park (Gee)0.92 wins - 0.08 winsRealProbs: 0.918413 - 0.081587RealScores: 110.449341 - 49.456368, Gold Coast 75 - 79 Melbourne Carrara (QLD)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.469605 - 0.530395RealScores: 74.934122 - 78.940834, Greater Western Sydney 70 - 83 Western Bulldogs Manuka Oval (NSW)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.384898 - 0.615102RealScores: 69.654410 - 82.853712, North Melbourne 62 - 90 St Kilda Docklands (VIC)0.27 wins - 0.73 winsRealProbs: 0.268784 - 0.731216RealScores: 62.496497 - 90.167454, Port Adelaide 92 - 70 Essendon Adelaide Oval (SA)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.686948 - 0.313052RealScores: 91.979631 - 70.142056, Richmond 115 - 59 West Coast M.C.G. (NSW)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.527878 - 0.472122RealScores: 78.608354 - 73.579201, West Coast 78 - 80 Adelaide Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 77.775523 - 79.760487, Collingwood 88 - 76 Brisbane Lions M.C.G. Enter details below to set up a new league League Setup Number of Rounds Teams Add Points For a Win For a Draw For a Loss Table Statistics Add Head-to-Head Criteria Add But an unexpected thrashing Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal: Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted, Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted, Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted, Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted. (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.537507 - 0.462493RealScores: 80.669251 - 72.524146, North Melbourne 84 - 73 West Coast Docklands (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.561304 - 0.438696RealScores: 84.279873 - 73.339484, Port Adelaide 84 - 80 Brisbane Lions Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 83.528952 - 80.280506, Richmond 86 - 85 Carlton M.C.G. The 2021 nrl ladder is live. If youre interested in how models predicted the final ladder during the season, head on over to the Ladder Scoreboard. Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness in mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection. Oops! (VIC)0.28 wins - 0.72 winsRealProbs: 0.277315 - 0.722685RealScores: 76.618206 - 102.784953, Fremantle 59 - 78 Geelong Perth Stadium (WA)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.331749 - 0.668251RealScores: 59.009882 - 78.243397, Greater Western Sydney 67 - 73 St Kilda Sydney Showground (NSW)0.45 wins - 0.55 winsRealProbs: 0.452342 - 0.547658RealScores: 67.315810 - 72.984798, Hawthorn 91 - 66 West Coast York Park (TAS)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.713347 - 0.286653RealScores: 91.057076 - 66.125183, North Melbourne 66 - 101 Sydney Docklands (VIC)0.22 wins - 0.78 winsRealProbs: 0.215326 - 0.784674RealScores: 65.752484 - 100.706660, Port Adelaide 73 - 76 Melbourne Adelaide Oval (SA)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.475489 - 0.524511RealScores: 72.996787 - 76.279173, Western Bulldogs 97 - 66 Adelaide Eureka Stadium (VIC)0.76 wins - 0.24 winsRealProbs: 0.760322 - 0.239678RealScores: 97.329594 - 65.961485, Adelaide 78 - 91 Brisbane Lions Adelaide Oval (SA)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.382239 - 0.617761RealScores: 77.855915 - 91.101973, Collingwood 101 - 61 North Melbourne Docklands (VIC)0.82 wins - 0.18 winsRealProbs: 0.818395 - 0.181605RealScores: 101.405345 - 61.303676, Geelong 103 - 46 Greater Western Sydney Kardinia Park (Gee)0.91 wins - 0.09 winsRealProbs: 0.908152 - 0.091848RealScores: 103.131729 - 45.878441, Gold Coast 81 - 83 Western Bulldogs Marrara Oval (NT)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.487163 - 0.512837RealScores: 80.671460 - 82.759908, Melbourne 77 - 57 Fremantle M.C.G. 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